Traders on Polymarket are betting heavily against a trade involving Alec Pierce, giving the event a 0% chance of occurring by the resolution date. The market, which has attracted $418,000 in volume, reflects a consensus that the Colts wide receiver will remain with the team through the 2026 offseason. No other prediction platforms—Kalshi or Manifold—have active markets on this event, limiting cross-platform analysis. The lack of any recent news headlines regarding Pierce's trade status further supports the market's expectation, as no external triggers have emerged to shift the odds. While the 0% probability suggests near-certainty, prediction markets can be influenced by sudden developments, such as contract disputes or team roster changes, which could alter the outlook.