Despite the lack of any recent news or trade rumors, prediction market participants are expressing near-total certainty that Alec Pierce will remain with the Colts through the resolution date of July 22, 2026. The Polymarket contract, which has attracted $418,000 in trading volume, shows a 0% probability of a trade occurring, reflecting a consensus that the third-year receiver is not a likely trade candidate. No other prediction platforms—Kalshi or Manifold—offer contracts on this event, making Polymarket the sole source of market-based expectations. The absence of any external news flow, such as trade demands, contract disputes, or team rebuilding signals, reinforces the market's view. Traders appear to be pricing in Pierce's role as a depth receiver on a team with no immediate incentive to move him, though the complete lack of probability movement suggests the market sees no catalysts for change.