According to data from Polymarket, the sole prediction platform tracking this event, traders assign a 0% probability to Bosnia-Herzegovina winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup. The market, which has attracted $56.6 million in volume, reflects a consensus that the team is not among the favorites for the tournament. No other platforms—Kalshi or Manifold—offer contracts on this specific outcome, limiting cross-platform comparison. The absence of any positive probability suggests that market participants view Bosnia-Herzegovina's chances as negligible, likely due to the team's historical performance and the strength of traditional soccer powerhouses. No specific external trigger was identified in today's news flow to explain this static probability.
Bosnia-Herzegovina Expected to Fall Short of 2026 World Cup Title (100% probability)
Saturday, June 27, 2026Resolves: July 20, 2026
Market Consensus
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
0%
0%
Average
Average
$56.6M
Volume
Volume
N/A
Spread
Spread
Prediction markets give Bosnia-Herzegovina a 0% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with Polymarket traders placing over $56.6 million in bets that the nation will not lift the trophy.
Confidence Note: Data is limited to Polymarket, which shows high volume but no probability variation; Kalshi and Manifold lack contracts, reducing reliability for a multi-platform view.
