Traders on Polymarket, the only prediction platform covering this specific casting question, see a near-certain outcome: Callum Turner will not be named the next 007. The contract, which has attracted $173,000 in volume, shows just a 1% chance that the British actor, known for roles in 'Fantastic Beasts' and 'The Boys in the Boat,' will land the iconic role. The lack of coverage on Kalshi and Manifold limits cross-platform comparison, but the Polymarket data alone suggests overwhelming skepticism among forecasters. No specific external trigger, such as a studio announcement or credible leak, has been identified in today's news flow to explain the low probability. The betting pool remains active, with odds reflecting a consensus that the search for Daniel Craig's successor will take a different direction.
Callum Turner Expected to Not Be Cast as Next James Bond (99% probability)
Saturday, June 27, 2026Resolves: June 30, 2026
Market Consensus
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
1%
1%
Average
Average
$173K
Volume
Volume
N/A
Spread
Spread
Prediction markets give a 99% probability that actor Callum Turner will not be announced as the next James Bond by June 2026, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Confidence Note: Data is limited to Polymarket alone; Kalshi and Manifold do not track this event, reducing reliability for a broader market consensus.
