Traders on Polymarket, the leading prediction market for sports outcomes, assign Ecuador no probability of lifting the trophy in 2026. The market, which has seen $70.7 million in total volume, reflects a consensus that the South American side is not among the favorites. No other platforms—Kalshi or Manifold—offer contracts on this specific outcome, making Polymarket the sole source of data. The 0% figure suggests extreme confidence among bettors that Ecuador will not win, though such binary markets can be influenced by low liquidity or a lack of compelling odds. No specific external trigger was identified in today's news flow to explain this assessment, as no relevant headlines were available. The market's volume, however, indicates significant interest, likely driven by broader World Cup betting rather than Ecuador-specific analysis.