On the sole prediction platform covering this event, Polymarket, forecasters see a low 14% probability that the high-stakes match between France and England will be decided by penalties. This suggests that traders expect a clear winner to emerge during the 90 minutes of regulation or the 30 minutes of extra time, rather than the lottery of spot kicks. The market, with a modest volume of $5,000, indicates limited but focused interest in this specific outcome. No other major platforms, such as Kalshi or Manifold, have contracts on this event, making Polymarket the primary source of probabilistic insight. The absence of recent news headlines means no external trigger has been identified to explain the current odds, which may reflect general historical trends: penalty shootouts occur in roughly 20-25% of knockout matches in major tournaments, but traders here are betting on a lower likelihood for this particular fixture. The 86% probability of no shootout implies confidence in a decisive result, possibly driven by the attacking strengths of both sides or defensive vulnerabilities that could lead to goals in open play.