Traders on Polymarket see a 97% probability that GPT-Bidi-1, a speculated next-generation language model, will not be released by the mid-2026 deadline. The low volume of just $2,000 in bets suggests limited market engagement, possibly reflecting the speculative nature of the event or a lack of concrete information from OpenAI. No other prediction platforms—Kalshi or Manifold—cover this contract, leaving Polymarket as the sole source of probabilistic insight. The absence of recent news headlines or official announcements from OpenAI further contributes to the market's skepticism, as no external triggers have shifted the odds. The 3% probability implies that traders view a release within the timeframe as a long shot, likely contingent on unexpected breakthroughs or strategic pivots by the company.