Traders on Polymarket, the only major prediction platform covering this casting speculation, unanimously assign a zero percent probability to Henry Cavill being named the next 007 by mid-2026. The market has attracted $455,000 in volume, indicating significant interest despite the absolute consensus against the actor's selection. No other platforms—Kalshi or Manifold—currently offer contracts on this specific outcome, leaving Polymarket as the sole source of probabilistic insight. The 100% expectation that Cavill will not be chosen reflects a market that has fully priced in alternative candidates, though no specific news headlines have emerged to trigger this certainty. The lack of any positive probability suggests traders view Cavill's casting as effectively ruled out, perhaps due to industry rumors or the actor's other commitments, though the data does not specify a cause.