Polymarket traders have priced Ivory Coast's World Cup victory at zero, reflecting the team's elimination from the tournament. With $90.3 million wagered on the market, the consensus is absolute: the Elephants will not lift the trophy in July. No other prediction platforms—Kalshi or Manifold—offer contracts on this specific outcome, leaving Polymarket as the sole source of probabilistic insight.
The 0% probability aligns with Ivory Coast's early exit from the competition, as reported by SBS Australia on June 16, 2026, which highlighted Curaçao's historic first World Cup goal and Australia's dominant performance. While the headline does not directly address Ivory Coast, the broader context of the tournament's progress suggests the team failed to advance past the group stage. No specific external trigger for the market's zero probability was identified beyond the team's elimination.
Traders see no path to victory for Ivory Coast, a stark contrast to pre-tournament odds that might have placed them as a long-shot contender. The market's complete certainty—100% probability of not winning—underscores the finality of their exit. With no other platforms to compare, the Polymarket data stands as the definitive forecast for this event.