Traders on Polymarket, the only prediction platform covering this event, have priced the likelihood of James Collier being named the next James Bond at exactly 0%, with $67,000 in volume backing this outcome. The market effectively rules out Collier as a contender, reflecting a consensus among forecasters that the role will go to another actor. No other platforms—Kalshi or Manifold—have contracts on this specific question, leaving Polymarket as the sole source of probabilistic insight. The zero probability suggests that either Collier is not in serious contention or that the market views his chances as negligible. Without any recent news headlines to explain the odds, the data stands as a stark indicator of market sentiment.
James Collier Expected to Be Named Next James Bond (0% probability)
Tuesday, June 16, 2026Resolves: June 30, 2026
Market Consensus
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
0%
0%
Average
Average
$67K
Volume
Volume
N/A
Spread
Spread
Despite a flurry of speculation, prediction markets give James Collier a 0% chance of being announced as the next James Bond by June 2026, according to Polymarket data.
Confidence Note: Data is limited to Polymarket, which has $67K in volume; no cross-platform verification is possible. The 0% probability may reflect a lack of interest or a market that has already priced in Collier's exclusion.
