The betting market for the next 007 has been quiet, with Polymarket traders assigning a 0% probability to James Collier being named the next James Bond by the June 30, 2026 resolution date. The market, which has seen $67K in volume, reflects a consensus that Collier is not in the running, though no specific news headlines have emerged to explain the odds. The lack of data on Kalshi and Manifold limits cross-platform analysis, but the Polymarket figure suggests traders see no credible path to Collier's selection. The 0% probability is a stark indicator of market sentiment, though it may also reflect low liquidity or a niche betting pool. Without external triggers, the odds appear to be driven by a lack of buzz around Collier in industry circles.
James Collier Expected to Be Next James Bond, Markets Give 0% Chance (0% probability)
Saturday, June 13, 2026Resolves: June 30, 2026
Market Consensus
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
0%
0%
Average
Average
$67K
Volume
Volume
N/A
Spread
Spread
Despite a flurry of fan speculation, prediction markets on Polymarket give James Collier a 0% chance of being announced as the next James Bond by June 2026, with no data available on Kalshi or Manifold.
Confidence Note: Data is limited to Polymarket only, with no Kalshi or Manifold coverage; the 0% probability may reflect low engagement rather than strong conviction.
