The race to succeed Daniel Craig as the iconic British spy appears to have a clear front-runner—but it is not James Collier. On Polymarket, the only prediction platform tracking this event, the contract for Collier as the next James Bond has traded at 0% since its inception, indicating near-universal consensus among bettors that the actor will not land the role. With $68,000 in volume, the market reflects a decisive rejection of Collier's candidacy, though no specific news has emerged to explain the odds.
Without data from Kalshi or Manifold, the Polymarket figure stands alone, but its consistency over time suggests traders are confident in their assessment. The lack of any positive movement—even amid fan campaigns or speculative articles—underscores the market's skepticism. The 0% probability effectively rules out Collier, though it does not identify who might actually take the role. The resolution date of June 30, 2026, leaves ample time for surprises, but for now, the market's verdict is clear.