Despite swirling fan speculation and the actor's rising profile after his Emmy-nominated role in 'The Crown,' prediction markets are unequivocal: Josh O'Connor will not be the next 007. On Polymarket, the sole platform with active trading on this question, the contract sits at 0% probability, reflecting a complete consensus among bettors that the 34-year-old British actor is not in the running for the iconic role.
The $72,000 in volume on Polymarket suggests a small but engaged pool of traders who have effectively ruled out O'Connor, though the lack of data from Kalshi or Manifold limits cross-platform comparison. No specific news headlines have emerged to explain the market's stance, leaving the zero probability as a pure reflection of trader sentiment rather than a reaction to any reported casting developments.
Industry insiders have long speculated that the next Bond will be a younger actor, possibly in his late 20s or early 30s, with names like Aaron Taylor-Johnson and Henry Cavill frequently mentioned. O'Connor, known for his brooding intensity, may simply not fit the mold producers are seeking for the franchise's next chapter, which is expected to be announced by 2026.