Despite swirling fan speculation and online chatter, prediction markets are unequivocal: Josh O'Connor is not the next 007. On Polymarket, the only major platform tracking this specific question, the contract has traded at 0% since its inception, with $72,000 in volume—indicating that traders see no credible path to O'Connor donning the tuxedo. The lack of movement suggests that market participants view the rumor as unfounded, possibly stemming from social media buzz rather than insider knowledge. No other prediction platforms—Kalshi or Manifold—offer contracts on this outcome, limiting cross-platform verification. Without any recent news headlines to anchor the shift, the odds appear to reflect a consensus that O'Connor, while a talented actor, is not in contention for the iconic role. The 0% probability is rare in prediction markets, where even long shots typically trade at a few cents; here, the complete absence of bids underscores the market's conviction.
Josh O'Connor Not Expected to Be Next James Bond, Markets Show (0% probability)
Sunday, June 21, 2026Resolves: June 30, 2026
Market Consensus
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
0%
0%
Average
Average
$72K
Volume
Volume
N/A
Spread
Spread
Prediction markets give zero chance that actor Josh O'Connor will be announced as the next James Bond, with Polymarket traders placing $72,000 in bets against the casting, though no other platforms track the event.
Confidence Note: Data is limited to Polymarket alone; no cross-platform confirmation available. The 0% probability is highly unusual and may reflect a thin market or lack of interest rather than deep conviction.
