The British actor Josh O'Connor, known for his role in 'The Crown,' has been ruled out by traders on Polymarket, the only prediction platform with active data on this event. With a 0% probability and $72,000 in volume, the market reflects a strong consensus that he will not be the next 007. No other platforms—Kalshi or Manifold—have contracts on this specific outcome, limiting cross-platform analysis. The lack of any recent news headlines suggests the odds are driven by sustained trader sentiment rather than a specific trigger. The market's resolution date is June 30, 2026, leaving ample time for shifts, but current data points to a clear expectation that the role will go to another actor.
Josh O'Connor Not Expected to Be Next James Bond, Traders Say (100% probability)
Saturday, June 13, 2026Resolves: June 30, 2026
Market Consensus
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
0%
0%
Average
Average
$72K
Volume
Volume
N/A
Spread
Spread
Despite swirling fan speculation, prediction markets give Josh O'Connor a 0% chance of being named the next James Bond, according to Polymarket data with $72,000 in volume.
Confidence Note: Data is limited to Polymarket alone, with no cross-platform verification; the 0% probability may reflect low liquidity or a niche market rather than definitive insight.
