Traders on Polymarket, the sole prediction market tracking this race, assign a 0% probability to Juan Manuel Galán securing the presidency in 2026. The market, which has attracted $769,000 in total volume, reflects a consensus that the candidate faces insurmountable odds, though the absence of data from other platforms like Kalshi or Manifold limits cross-validation. No specific external trigger has been identified in today's news flow to explain this assessment, suggesting the odds are driven by broader political dynamics or polling trends rather than a recent event. The 0% figure, while stark, should be interpreted with caution given the single-platform coverage and the long time horizon until the election in June 2026, which leaves room for shifts in the political landscape.