Traders on Polymarket have priced the likelihood of a Mike Evans trade at exactly 0%, with $66,000 in volume backing the view that the star wide receiver will stay put through the resolution date of July 22, 2026. The market's unanimous expectation reflects a consensus that Evans, a key offensive weapon for the Buccaneers, is not on the trading block despite any speculative chatter. No other prediction platforms—Kalshi or Manifold—offer contracts on this event, leaving Polymarket as the sole source of probabilistic insight. The absence of any positive probability suggests that market participants see no credible path to a deal, whether due to contractual commitments, team strategy, or lack of trade interest. No specific external trigger was identified in today's news flow to explain the static odds, which have held at zero since the market opened.
Mike Evans Trade Expected to Remain Off the Table Through 2026 (0% probability)
Wednesday, July 1, 2026Resolves: July 22, 2026
Market Consensus
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
0%
0%
Average
Average
$66K
Volume
Volume
N/A
Spread
Spread
Prediction markets give a 0% chance that Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans will be traded before July 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Confidence Note: Data is limited to Polymarket, which shows a 0% probability with $66K in volume; no cross-platform comparison is possible, and the lack of news headlines reduces the ability to assess market drivers.
