Traders on Polymarket have priced the likelihood of a Mike Evans trade at exactly 0%, reflecting a near-universal consensus that the star wide receiver will remain with the Buccaneers through the 2026 season. With $66,000 in volume, the market has attracted modest but decisive betting activity, with no contracts trading above zero. No other prediction platforms—Kalshi or Manifold—offer contracts on this event, limiting cross-platform comparison but underscoring the singularity of the Polymarket data. The absence of any positive probability suggests that market participants view Evans' tenure in Tampa Bay as stable, likely due to his contract status and the team's offensive reliance on him. No specific external trigger was identified in today's news flow to explain the 0% reading, which has held steady since the market opened.
Mike Evans Trade Expected to Remain Off the Table, Traders Say (100% probability)
Tuesday, June 30, 2026Resolves: July 22, 2026
Market Consensus
Kalshi
—
Polymarket
0%
0%
Average
Average
$66K
Volume
Volume
N/A
Spread
Spread
Prediction markets give a 0% chance that Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans will be traded before the 2026 resolution date, according to Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Confidence Note: Data is limited to Polymarket, which has $66K in volume; no other platforms track this event, so the consensus is based on a single source.
