The sole prediction market tracking this event, Kalshi, shows a 0% probability that Oklahoma City will experience a record low temperature by the resolution date of July 3, 2026. This implies a 100% expectation that the event will not occur, though the low trading volume of just $2,000 suggests limited market depth and speculative interest. Without additional data from Polymarket or Manifold, the forecast lacks cross-platform validation, but the unanimous consensus among Kalshi traders points to a strong belief that no such temperature record will be set. No specific external trigger was identified in today's news flow to explain this probability, as no relevant headlines were available.
Oklahoma City Expected to Avoid Record Low Temperature by July 2026 (100% probability)
Thursday, July 2, 2026Resolves: July 3, 2026
Market Consensus
Kalshi
0%
Polymarket
—
0%
Average
Average
$2K
Volume
Volume
N/A
Spread
Spread
Prediction market traders on Kalshi see a 0% chance that Oklahoma City will record a low temperature by July 3, 2026, effectively ruling out the event. With no data from Polymarket or Manifold, the forecast rests solely on Kalshi's $2K volume market.
Confidence Note: Data reliability is low due to single-platform coverage and minimal volume; the 0% probability reflects a thin market with no alternative sources.
