Traders on Polymarket have placed over $63,000 in bets on the outcome, with the market unanimously expecting the payments giant to remain private past the mid-2026 deadline. The 100% probability reflects a complete consensus among participants, though the lack of data from other platforms like Kalshi and Manifold limits cross-validation. No specific external trigger was identified in today's news flow to explain the certainty, suggesting the market has long priced in a delay based on Stripe's history of postponing its public debut. The company, valued at around $65 billion in private markets, has not filed confidentially for an IPO, and analysts note that its focus on international expansion and regulatory compliance may be pushing the timeline further out.