The sole prediction market tracking this question, Kalshi, shows a 6% probability that Trump will publicly criticize Warsh before July 1, 2026, implying a 94% expectation that he will refrain. With only $20,000 in volume and no data from Polymarket or Manifold, the market remains thin, but the consensus is clear: traders broadly anticipate no public attack from Trump on the potential Fed pick. The absence of recent news headlines on the topic suggests no immediate catalyst for a shift in odds, leaving the market driven by baseline political expectations. Given the low volume and single-platform coverage, the probability should be interpreted with caution, though the direction is unambiguous.