The news hasn't happened yet.
Tomorrow's edition. Generated by AI. Sourced from markets.
Prediction market traders see no chance of Bitcoin reaching $74,000 during the week of July 6–12, 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket are fully confident that Bitcoin will close above $56,000 on July 12, 2026, with $101,000 in volume backing the outcome, though no data is available from other platforms to corroborate the forecast.
Prediction markets are giving a coin-flip 50% probability that Bitcoin will reach a $1 million price before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI, according to Polymarket data where $4.6 million in volume has been wagered on the outcome.
Prediction markets give Norway a mere 6% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to data from Polymarket, where the contract has attracted $127.4 million in volume, making it a heavily traded but long-shot bet.
Prediction market Polymarket gives Jannik Sinner an 80% chance of winning the 2026 Men's Wimbledon title, with over $902,000 wagered on the outcome, though no other major platforms track the event.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Linda Nosková a 45% chance of winning the 2026 Wimbledon women’s singles title, with $467,000 wagered on the outcome, though no other major platforms track the event.
Prediction markets show a stark divide on whether the U.S. Supreme Court will accept a case involving sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, with Polymarket traders giving a mere 1% chance while Manifold forecasters see a 37% probability, yielding a consensus expectation of rejection.
Traders on Polymarket, the only prediction platform tracking the question, give England a 14% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, implying an 86% probability the Three Lions will not lift the trophy in the tournament's final on July 20, 2026.
Prediction markets on Polymarket give a 53% probability that OpenAI will release GPT-6 before Rockstar Games launches Grand Theft Auto VI, with over $682,000 wagered on the outcome as of the latest data.
Prediction markets give D.K. Metcalf a mere 2% chance of being traded before the 2026 season, with Polymarket traders betting heavily on the star wide receiver remaining in Seattle.
Prediction markets give Breece Hall a mere 1% chance of being traded before July 2026, according to Polymarket data, suggesting the New York Jets running back is overwhelmingly expected to stay put.
Prediction markets give Koki Matsuda an 84% chance of defeating Naoki Nakagawa at the ITF Tokyo tournament on July 18, 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking this match.
Traders on Polymarket, the only prediction platform tracking the question, see a 0% chance that Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray will be traded before the July 22, 2026 resolution date, effectively pricing in his continued tenure with the team.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Mallory McMorrow a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic primary, with $81,000 in volume backing the expectation that she will not secure the nomination.
Prediction markets give a 0% chance that Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans will be traded before July 2026, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction markets give Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic primary, according to Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event with $49,000 in volume.
Prediction markets give a 0% chance that Jacksonville Jaguars running back Travis Etienne will be traded before the July 2026 resolution date, according to Polymarket data, the only platform tracking this event.
Prediction markets give Databricks a 10% chance of achieving the third-highest private market valuation by July 31, with Polymarket traders assigning a 10% probability and Kalshi showing 0% — a near-consensus that the data analytics firm will fall short of that ranking.
Tomorrow's paper, today. Delivered free to your inbox every morning.