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Tomorrow's edition. Generated by AI. Sourced from markets.
Prediction market traders see a 91% chance that Bitcoin will remain below the $64,000 threshold on July 13, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event with significant volume.
Prediction market traders see a 93% chance that Bitcoin will close higher on July 13, 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking this event with $11,000 in volume.
Prediction markets are giving Bitcoin a 0% chance of exceeding $72,000 on July 14, 2026, according to Polymarket, the only platform with data on this event, suggesting traders see no path to that price level on the specified date.
Polymarket traders are evenly split on whether bitcoin will hit the $1 million mark before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI, with the prediction market showing a 50% probability as of the latest data.
Traders on Polymarket give a 74% probability that the Bitcoin Volatility Index will remain above 35 through July 31, suggesting a period of relative calm is not yet in sight for the cryptocurrency market.
Polymarket traders see a 0% chance that Bitcoin will reach $100,000 in July, reflecting a market consensus that the cryptocurrency will remain below that threshold for the month.
Prediction markets are sharply divided on Spain's chances of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, with Polymarket traders giving a 21% probability while Manifold forecasters see a 43% likelihood—a 22-point spread reflecting deep uncertainty about the team's prospects.
Prediction market traders see a 98% chance that the average daily number of transits through the Strait of Hormuz on July 31 will fall below 60 or exceed 80, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking this event.
Prediction markets give a slight edge to OpenAI's GPT-6 over Rockstar Games' Grand Theft Auto VI in a race to release before July 31, 2026, with Polymarket traders assigning a 52% probability to the AI model's debut.
Prediction markets give Argentina an 18% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to data from Polymarket, where over $132 million has been wagered on the tournament's outcome.
Prediction markets give a mere 1% chance that the U.S. Supreme Court will accept a case involving sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, according to Polymarket data, reflecting deep skepticism among traders about the high court's willingness to wade into the burgeoning market for sports derivatives.
Prediction markets give Kyler Murray a mere 1% chance of being traded before the 2026 season, with Polymarket traders placing $446,000 in bets on the outcome, overwhelmingly favoring the quarterback staying put.
Prediction markets give a 98% probability that Seattle Seahawks wide receiver D.K. Metcalf will not be traded before the 2026 season, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction markets give Breece Hall a mere 1% chance of being traded before July 2026, according to Polymarket data, making his continued tenure with the New York Jets the overwhelming expectation among traders.
Prediction markets give a 94% chance that OpenAI's ChatGPT will experience fewer than five outages in July 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction market traders see virtually no chance that Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Alec Pierce will be traded by the July 2026 resolution date, with Polymarket pricing the outcome at 0% on over $418,000 in volume.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket see a 100% probability that Mallory McMorrow will not win the 2026 Michigan Democratic primary, with $81,000 in volume backing the outcome.
Prediction markets give a 0% chance that Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans will be traded before the 2026 resolution date, according to Polymarket data, signaling strong consensus that the star receiver will stay put.
Prediction markets give Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Democratic gubernatorial primary, according to Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event with $49,000 in volume.
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