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Tomorrow's edition. Generated by AI. Sourced from markets.
Prediction markets show a 100% probability that Ethereum will remain below a specified price threshold by July 16, 2026, based on limited data from Kalshi, the only platform tracking this event.
Prediction market traders see no chance of Bitcoin falling below $54,000 by July 16, 2026, according to Polymarket data, where the contract has attracted $1,000 in volume and sits at 0% probability for a sub-$54,000 price.
In a quirky bet that pits the world's largest cryptocurrency against one of gaming's most anticipated titles, Polymarket traders see a 50% chance that Bitcoin will reach $1 million before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI, with $4.7 million wagered on the outcome.
Prediction market traders see a 55% chance that Bitcoin will reach $67,500 by the end of July, according to Polymarket data, with over $1.1 million in volume wagered on the outcome.
Prediction market traders see a 98% chance that Bitcoin will not reach the $70,000 mark by July 20, 2026, according to Polymarket data, reflecting a bearish outlook for the cryptocurrency over the next two years.
Polymarket traders assign a 0% probability to Bitcoin dipping to $42,500 in July, effectively ruling out a drop to that level, with $121K in volume backing the consensus.
Prediction market traders see a 98% chance that the U.S. Supreme Court will not accept a case related to sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, according to Polymarket data, with over $948,000 wagered on the outcome.
Prediction markets give a narrow edge to OpenAI's GPT-6 over Rockstar Games' Grand Theft Auto VI in the race to release first, with Polymarket traders assigning a 51% probability to the AI model launching before the video game by July 31, 2026.
Across prediction markets, traders see a near-certain 99% probability that Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray will not be traded before the 2026 season, according to Polymarket data with $446,000 in volume.
Prediction markets give a 99% probability that Seattle Seahawks wide receiver D.K. Metcalf will not be traded before the 2026 season, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking this event.
Prediction markets give Andrey Rublev a 72% chance of defeating Andrea Pellegrino in the first round of the Swedish Open, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the match.
Prediction markets give a 99% probability that Jacksonville Jaguars running back Travis Etienne will not be traded before the July 2026 resolution date, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction markets give a 90% probability that OpenAI's ChatGPT will experience fewer than five outages in July 2026, according to Polymarket data, suggesting traders expect relative stability for the AI service.
Prediction market traders see no chance of Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Alec Pierce being traded before July 22, 2026, with Polymarket giving the event a 0% probability on $418K in volume.
Prediction markets give Mallory McMorrow a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic primary, with Polymarket traders betting against her candidacy entirely.
Prediction markets give a 0% chance that Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans will be traded before the 2026 season, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms covering the event.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic primary, with $49,000 in volume backing the view that she will not secure the nomination.
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