The news hasn't happened yet.
Tomorrow's edition. Generated by AI. Sourced from markets.
Prediction market traders see zero chance of Bitcoin reaching $74,000 during the week of July 13–19, 2026, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms offering contracts on the event.
Polymarket traders give Bitcoin only a 22% chance of closing above $66,000 on July 21, 2026, implying a 78% probability that the cryptocurrency will trade below that threshold, according to the sole prediction market tracking the event.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket are evenly split on whether Bitcoin will hit the $1 million mark before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI, with the contract drawing $4.7 million in volume as of Wednesday.
Prediction market traders see a 97% chance that Bitcoin will remain above $56,000 on July 22, 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking this event.
Prediction markets give a 99% probability that the Bitcoin Volatility Index will not dip to 25 by July 31, according to Polymarket data, with only $2,000 in volume reflecting limited trader interest.
Prediction markets offer little clarity on which film will top Netflix's US charts this week, with Kalshi traders assigning a 0% probability to any single movie emerging as the definitive leader, while Polymarket and Manifold lack data on the event.
Polymarket traders see a narrow 51% chance that Rihanna will drop a new studio album before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI, a bet that has drawn $860,000 in volume on the platform.
Prediction markets give the Spanish winger Lamine Yamal a mere 5% chance of recording two or more assists in the 2026 World Cup final, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction markets give a 99% probability that Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray will not be traded before the 2026 season, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction markets give a 99% probability that Seattle Seahawks wide receiver D.K. Metcalf will not be traded before the 2026 NFL season, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction markets give Travis Etienne a mere 1% chance of being traded before the 2026 season, with Polymarket traders overwhelmingly betting the Jacksonville Jaguars running back stays put.
Prediction market traders see a 99% chance that the U.S. Supreme Court will not accept a case related to sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, according to Polymarket data, with over $948,000 wagered on the outcome.
Polymarket traders see a 50% probability that OpenAI will release GPT-6 before Rockstar Games launches Grand Theft Auto VI, with $685,000 in bets placed on the question as of the latest data.
Prediction markets give a 0% chance that Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans will be traded by the 2026 resolution date, according to Polymarket data with $66,000 in volume.
Prediction markets give a 0% chance that New York Jets running back Breece Hall will be traded before the July 22, 2026 resolution date, according to Polymarket data, suggesting traders see no realistic path to a deal.
Prediction markets give Mallory McMorrow a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic primary, according to Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event with $82,000 in volume.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket see a 0% chance that Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel will win the 2026 Michigan Democratic primary, with $49,000 in volume backing the expectation of her defeat.
Tomorrow's paper, today. Delivered free to your inbox every morning.