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Tomorrow's edition. Generated by AI. Sourced from markets.
Prediction market traders see a 98% probability that Brazil's annual inflation rate will remain below 5% through August 2026, according to Kalshi data, the only platform tracking this event.
Polymarket traders are fully confident that Bitcoin will surpass $56,000 by July 23, 2026, giving the event a 100% probability on the platform, with $10,000 in volume backing the prediction.
Polymarket traders are evenly split on whether bitcoin will reach $1 million before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI, with the prediction market showing a 50% probability on the event as of today.
Prediction market traders see a 97% chance that Bitcoin will not reach $75,000 in July, according to Polymarket data, with over $1.1 million in volume backing the bearish outlook.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket see an 87% chance that Bitcoin will not dip to $62,000 during the week of July 20-26, 2026, with only $13,000 in volume backing the contract.
Prediction markets give a 73% chance that the Bitcoin Volatility Index will remain below the 50 threshold through July 31, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking this event.
Prediction markets give a 79% probability that maximum daily traffic through the Strait of Hormuz will not reach record levels by July 2026, according to Kalshi data, the only platform tracking this event.
Prediction market traders see a 91% chance that OpenAI's valuation will not reach the $900 billion threshold by July 31, according to Polymarket data, the only platform tracking this event.
Traders on Kalshi give a 94% probability that Dallas will not record its lowest temperature on record this year, with only $478 in volume on the sole prediction market covering the event.
Traders on Kalshi, the only prediction market covering this event, give a 96% probability that the FAO Food Price Index will not exceed a specific critical threshold in August 2026, reflecting broad confidence in stable global food prices.
Prediction markets show a 100% probability that XRP will not reach the $1 threshold by July 22, 2026, based on a single contract on Kalshi with minimal trading volume of $1.
Prediction markets give a 99% probability that Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray will not be traded before the July 2026 resolution date, with Polymarket traders placing $446,000 in bets on the outcome.
Prediction markets give a 99% probability that Seattle Seahawks wide receiver D.K. Metcalf will not be traded before the July 22, 2026 resolution date, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Polymarket traders see a 0% chance that Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans will be traded before the July 2026 resolution date, effectively pricing in his continued tenure with the team.
Prediction markets give a 0% chance that New York Jets running back Breece Hall will be traded before July 22, 2026, according to Polymarket data, indicating traders see his departure as virtually impossible.
Prediction market traders see a 98% chance that the U.S. Supreme Court will not accept a case involving sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, according to Polymarket, the only platform tracking this event.
Prediction markets show a dead heat in the race between OpenAI's next-generation language model and Rockstar Games' long-awaited sequel, with Polymarket traders giving each outcome an equal 50% chance as of Wednesday.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give an 82% chance that OpenAI's ChatGPT will suffer five or more service outages during July 2026, reflecting persistent concerns about the platform's reliability amid growing demand.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give a 46% chance that Stripe will hold the third-highest private market valuation by July 31, implying a 54% probability it will fall short, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction market traders give a 90% chance that OpenAI's ChatGPT will not experience exactly four service outages in July 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking this event.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Mallory McMorrow a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic primary, with $82,000 in volume backing a different outcome, though no other platforms track the event.
Prediction markets give Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Democratic primary for governor, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the race.
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