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Tomorrow's edition. Generated by AI. Sourced from markets.
Prediction markets give a 96% chance that the CPI-U index will remain below the specified threshold for the August reading, according to Kalshi traders, the only platform with active data on this event.
Prediction markets show a stark divide on Bitcoin's direction for August 1, with Polymarket traders giving an 80% chance of an up day, while Manifold forecasters see only a 52% probability, a 28-point gap reflecting deep uncertainty.
Polymarket traders give Bitcoin a 91% chance of remaining above $62,000 on August 1, 2026, with only 9% odds of a dip to that level. No other major prediction platform currently covers this event.
Polymarket traders give Bitcoin a 98% chance of remaining above $58,000 during the July 27–August 2 window, with $117K in volume backing the position.
Prediction market traders see a 98% chance that Bitcoin will remain below $70,000 on August 5, 2026, according to Polymarket, the only platform with active data on this event.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket see an 89% chance that OpenAI's valuation will not reach $900 billion by the end of July, with only 11% odds of hitting that mark.
Prediction market traders see no chance that OpenAI's valuation will reach $1.25 trillion by July 31, with Polymarket pricing the event at 0%.
Prediction markets give a low probability—ranging from 4% on Kalshi to 19% on Polymarket—that Spain will formally accuse Morocco of facilitating a migrant wave through Ceuta by August 31, 2026.
Traders on Kalshi give a 53% probability that golf round scores at the August 17 event will remain within the expected range, with no data available from Polymarket or Manifold.
Kalshi traders currently assign a 41% probability to the first team to score in an unspecified matchup, with no data available from Polymarket or Manifold for comparison.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket are unanimous in their expectation that Anthropic will hold the highest private market valuation on July 31, with a 100% probability assigned to the outcome. No other prediction platforms currently offer data on this event.
Prediction markets give Abdul El-Sayed a 97% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic primary, according to Polymarket, the only platform with active trading on this event.
Prediction market traders give Rep. Haley Stevens just a 3% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic primary, according to Polymarket, the only platform with active trading on the race.
Polymarket traders give Theo Papamalamis an 85% chance of defeating Amaury Raynel in their ITF Strasbourg match, with no other prediction platforms currently offering odds on the contest.
Prediction markets show a perfect toss-up in the Memphis Classic doubles final, with Polymarket traders giving each team a 50% chance of lifting the title on August 4.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Nithesa Selvaraj an 87% chance of defeating Elizabeth Prangley in the ITF W15 Brisbane 3 women's singles third round, with the match expected to conclude by August 4, 2026.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Manchester United captain Bruno Fernandes a 79% chance of winning the 2026 PFA Player of the Year award, with $91,000 wagered on the outcome.
Prediction markets give Declan Rice only a 20% chance of winning the 2026 PFA Player of the Year award, implying an 80% probability that another player takes the honor. Polymarket is the sole platform tracking this market, with $42K in volume.
Prediction markets give GPT-6 a mere 1% chance of being released by August 7, 2026, with Polymarket traders overwhelmingly betting against a launch within the next two years.
Prediction market traders give Maddison Inglis a 96% chance of beating Sofia Costoulas at the Vancouver event on August 5, 2026, according to Polymarket, the only platform with active trading on this match.
Prediction market traders see a 95% chance that Justin Bieber's monthly listener count on Spotify will not reach 130 million by August 31, according to Polymarket, the only platform with active trading on this event.
On Polymarket, traders give the San Francisco 49ers a 70% chance of defeating the Tennessee Titans in their 2026 regular-season meeting, while the Titans are seen as 30% likely to win. No other major prediction platform currently offers a market on this game.
Prediction market traders see no chance of Cole Palmer winning the 2026 PFA Player of the Year award, with Polymarket pricing the outcome at 0%.
Prediction markets give Denis Shapovalov a slight edge over Cameron Norrie to win the second set of their match, with Polymarket traders pricing a 37% chance and Kalshi at 33%.
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