The news hasn't happened yet.
Tomorrow's edition. Generated by AI. Sourced from markets.
Prediction markets show a 100% probability that the European Union will not impose a tariff rate above 10% on steel imports by July 1, 2026, according to Kalshi data, with no contradictory signals from other platforms.
Prediction market traders give Google only a 4% chance of having the second-best AI model by the end of June 2026, according to Polymarket data, suggesting the tech giant will trail competitors in the rapidly evolving artificial intelligence race.
Prediction market traders see an 86% chance that Bitcoin will not dip to $58,000 during the week of June 22–28, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction market traders see a 99% chance that Bitcoin will not exceed $74,000 by June 27, 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction markets on Kalshi indicate a 0% probability that the daily US Spotify artist chart will see a change in the top position, with only $1 in volume traded, suggesting minimal trader interest or confidence in any shift.
Prediction market traders are betting heavily against OpenAI retaining its status as the developer of the best AI model by June 2026, with Polymarket giving the company just a 1% chance of achieving that goal.
Prediction markets give OpenAI a 90% chance of falling short of a $1.25 trillion market cap on its IPO day, with Polymarket traders betting heavily against the AI giant reaching the $1.25T–$1.5T range.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give a 91% probability that OpenAI's market capitalization will fall below $1 trillion at the close of its first trading day, suggesting the AI giant's public debut may not reach the lofty valuations some analysts have floated.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give OpenAI just a 4% chance of maintaining the leading AI model by the end of June 2026, with $154,000 in bets signaling a strong consensus that competitors will overtake the company.
Prediction market traders give OpenAI’s next-generation GPT model a 33% chance of scoring at least 50% on the rigorous 'Humanity’s Last Exam' benchmark by June 2026, according to Polymarket data, suggesting the AI is more likely to fall short of this milestone.
Polymarket traders give a 62% probability that OpenAI's valuation will hit $875 billion by June 30, 2026, reflecting strong confidence in the AI firm's continued growth amid a booming sector.
Prediction markets give Cameron Boozer, the highly touted Duke commit, just a 20% chance of being selected with the second overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform currently tracking this market.
Prediction market traders see an 86% chance that University of North Carolina forward Caleb Wilson will not be selected with the third overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft, according to data from Polymarket.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Darryn Peterson just a 2% chance of being selected fifth overall in the 2026 NBA Draft, suggesting the prospect is widely expected to land elsewhere in the first round or go undrafted.
Despite a modest $94,000 in wagers on Polymarket, traders give the German forward just a 1% chance of being selected with the fifth overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft, making a top-five selection the overwhelming underdog.
Prediction markets give Darryn Peterson a 72% chance of being selected second overall in the 2026 NBA Draft, according to Polymarket data with $53,000 in trading volume.
Prediction markets give AJ Dybantsa just a 7% chance of being selected third overall in the 2026 NBA Draft, according to Polymarket data, suggesting the highly touted prospect is widely expected to land outside the top three picks.
Prediction market traders give Darius Acuff Jr. just a 1% chance of being selected second overall in the 2026 NBA Draft, according to Polymarket data, making it nearly certain he will not claim that spot.
Prediction markets give Darius Acuff Jr. just a 1% chance of being selected third overall in the 2026 NBA Draft, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction market traders are giving AJ Dybantsa a 90% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NBA Draft, according to Polymarket data, where the contract has seen $281,000 in volume.
Prediction market traders see a 99% chance that Duke freshman Cameron Boozer will not be selected first overall in the 2026 NBA draft, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket are unanimous in their view that LaBaron Philon will not be selected with the third overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft, giving the proposition a 0% probability across $54,000 in wagered volume.
Traders on Polymarket, the only prediction platform tracking the question, give Caleb Wilson a 0% chance of being selected second overall in the 2026 NBA Draft, with $8,000 in volume backing the outcome.
Polymarket traders see a 0% chance that Nate Ament will be selected first overall in the 2026 NBA Draft, with no data available on Kalshi or Manifold for this event.
Prediction markets are giving Gavin McKenna a 96% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to Polymarket data, making him the overwhelming favorite among traders.
Prediction markets are giving Alberts Smits a mere 1% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to Polymarket data, suggesting the young prospect is widely expected to fall to a later pick.
Prediction markets give Ilya Morozov just a 1% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to Polymarket data, making it nearly certain that another prospect will claim the top spot.
Prediction markets give Mathis Preston a mere 1% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to Polymarket data, making it nearly certain that another prospect will claim the top spot.
Prediction market traders give Adam Nemec just a 1% chance of being the first overall pick in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Traders on Kalshi, the only prediction market covering the event, give a 100% probability that the lowest round score at the 2026 PGA Championship will not fall below 58, with $39,000 in volume backing the outcome.
Prediction markets on Kalshi give an 86% probability that the winner of the Counter-Strike 2 map will not be the favorite, reflecting a strong consensus among traders despite minimal volume.
Despite the advantage of hosting the 2026 FIFA World Cup, prediction markets give the United States men's national team only a 4% chance of lifting the trophy, according to Polymarket data, where over $95 million has been wagered on the tournament's outcome.
Polymarket traders give Mexico a mere 1% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to data from the leading prediction platform, which has seen $82.6 million in total volume on the event.
Prediction markets give Croatia a mere 1% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to Polymarket data, with no other major platforms tracking the event. The overwhelming expectation is that the team will not lift the trophy in July.
Polymarket traders give Japan a mere 2% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, reflecting the nation's status as a significant underdog in global football, with no other prediction platforms tracking the event.
Despite their 2022 triumph, prediction markets give Argentina just a 14% chance of repeating as FIFA World Cup champions in 2026, with Polymarket traders placing over $68 million in bets against the defending champions.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give France a 20% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, implying an 80% probability that Les Bleus will not lift the trophy in the tournament's final on July 20, 2026.
Prediction markets give Morocco a mere 2% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to data from Polymarket, where the contract has attracted $67.3 million in volume, making it the sole platform tracking this event.
Prediction markets give Portugal a mere 7% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to Polymarket data, where the contract has attracted $62.8 million in trading volume.
Prediction markets give Switzerland a mere 1% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to Polymarket, where over $62 million in total volume has been wagered on the tournament's outcome.
Prediction markets give a 92% probability that no actor will be officially named as the next James Bond by June 30, 2026, according to Polymarket data, reflecting persistent uncertainty over the franchise's future direction.
Traders on Polymarket give only a 3% chance that OpenAI will release GPT-6 by June 30, 2026, reflecting widespread skepticism about the timeline for the next-generation language model.
Prediction markets give actor Callum Turner a mere 6% chance of being named the next James Bond, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction markets give a 97% probability that Seattle Seahawks wide receiver D.K. Metcalf will not be traded before the 2026 season, according to Polymarket data, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction markets give Breece Hall a mere 1% chance of being traded before July 2026, with Polymarket traders placing $48,000 in bets that the New York Jets running back will stay put.
Prediction market Polymarket shows a 100% probability that Fannie Mae will not conduct an initial public offering by June 30, 2026, reflecting a consensus among traders that the government-sponsored enterprise's return to public markets remains distant.
Prediction markets give Canada a 0% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to Polymarket, where over $66.7 million in bets reflect a consensus that the Canadian men's national team will not lift the trophy on home soil.
Prediction markets give Ekaterina Alexandrova a 58% chance of defeating Ann Li in the first round of the Bad Homburg Open on June 28, 2026, according to Polymarket data.
Prediction markets give Czechia a 0% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to data from Polymarket, where the contract has attracted $57.4 million in volume.
Tomorrow's paper, today. Delivered free to your inbox every morning.