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Tomorrow's edition. Generated by AI. Sourced from markets.
Traders on Kalshi, the only prediction market covering the event, assign a 93% probability that the Bank of Australia will keep its policy interest rate unchanged at its August 11 meeting, reflecting broad expectations of a steady monetary stance amid subdued inflation and stable growth.
Polymarket traders are evenly split on whether Bitcoin will hit the $1 million mark before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI, with the prediction market showing a 50% probability as of the latest data.
Prediction market traders see a 76% chance that Bitcoin will not reach the $67,500 mark in July, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform with active trading on this event.
Polymarket traders give a 74% probability that the Bitcoin Volatility Index will remain above 35 through July 31, reflecting a market consensus that crypto market turbulence will persist despite recent stabilization efforts.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket assign a 79% probability that Bitcoin will trade outside the $60,000 to $62,000 price range on July 21, 2026, with only 21% betting on a close within that narrow band.
Prediction market traders assign a 96% probability that Bitcoin will not exceed $74,000 by July 17, 2026, according to data from Kalshi and Polymarket, reflecting a bearish consensus on the cryptocurrency's near-term price trajectory.
Polymarket traders give Spain a 58% chance of winning the 2026 FIFA World Cup, according to $122 million in bets on the prediction platform, though no other major markets track the event.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give an 83% probability that OpenAI will not reach a $900 billion valuation by July 31, reflecting skepticism about the AI giant's near-term market cap growth despite its rapid expansion.
Prediction market traders are overwhelmingly betting that the upcoming France vs. England match will see fewer than 8.5 total goals, with Polymarket giving the under a 99% probability. No other platforms currently offer contracts on this event.
Prediction market traders are overwhelmingly betting that the Alexander Bublik vs. Quentin Halys match will extend to three sets, with Polymarket giving a 99% probability that the total sets played will exceed 2.5.
Prediction markets give Alexander Bublik a 99% chance of covering the -1.5 game handicap against Quentin Halys in their upcoming match, according to Polymarket data, though the thin $6K volume suggests limited conviction.
Prediction markets give a mere 3% chance that England will defeat France with an exact score of 2-0 in a World Cup match scheduled for July 18, 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking this specific outcome.
Traders on Polymarket give an 86% chance that the France vs. England match will not go to a penalty shootout, reflecting confidence in a decisive result within regular or extra time.
Traders on Polymarket give England a 57% chance of taking the first corner kick in their upcoming match against France, according to the only prediction market currently covering this event.
Prediction market traders see a 98% chance that the U.S. Supreme Court will not accept a case involving sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, according to Polymarket data, where the contract has attracted nearly $1 million in volume.
Polymarket traders give a 53% probability that Stricker will cover the -1.5 goal handicap against Shevchenko in their upcoming match, with limited data from other platforms.
Polymarket traders see a 50% probability that OpenAI will release GPT-6 before Rockstar Games launches Grand Theft Auto VI, with over $685,000 wagered on the outcome as of the latest data.
Prediction market traders see a 99% probability that Arizona Cardinals quarterback Kyler Murray will not be traded before the July 2026 resolution date, with Polymarket recording $446,000 in volume on the contract.
Prediction market Polymarket gives a 100% probability that Matyas Fule will defeat Thiago Seyboth Wild in their upcoming match in Cordenons, with $80,000 in trading volume backing the forecast.
Prediction markets give a 99% probability that Seattle Seahawks wide receiver D.K. Metcalf will not be traded before the 2026 season, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Stripe a 46% chance of achieving the third-highest private market valuation by July 31, implying a 54% probability it will fall short, according to the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction markets give a 90% probability that OpenAI's ChatGPT will experience fewer than five outages in July 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking this event.
Prediction markets give a 0% chance that Indianapolis Colts wide receiver Alec Pierce will be traded by July 22, 2026, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction markets give Mallory McMorrow a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic primary, according to Polymarket data with $81,000 in volume, indicating traders see her candidacy as a non-starter.
Prediction markets give a 0% chance that Tampa Bay Buccaneers wide receiver Mike Evans will be traded before the 2026 resolution date, according to Polymarket data with $66,000 in volume.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic primary, with $49,000 in volume backing the view that she will not secure the nomination.
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