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Tomorrow's edition. Generated by AI. Sourced from markets.
Prediction markets indicate a 100% probability that Argentina's month-over-month inflation will exceed 2% in the specified month, based on Kalshi data with $15.05 in volume, though no other platforms track this event.
Prediction market traders give a 94% probability that Bitcoin will not dip to $61,000 on July 29, according to Polymarket data, with $16,000 in volume backing the view that the cryptocurrency will hold above that threshold.
Polymarket traders assign a 99% probability that Bitcoin will close above $56,000 on July 31, 2026, reflecting near-certain market confidence in the cryptocurrency's price trajectory. No other prediction platforms currently track this event, limiting cross-platform comparison.
Traders on Polymarket give the Bitcoin Volatility Index a mere 4% chance of reaching the 50 threshold by July 31, reflecting a broad consensus that crypto markets will remain relatively calm through mid-summer.
Polymarket traders give Bitcoin a 0% chance of reaching $80,000 in July, with over $1.1 million in volume backing the expectation that the cryptocurrency will remain below that threshold.
Traders on Polymarket give Bitcoin a 38% chance of dipping to $62,000 during the week of July 27 to August 2, implying a 62% probability that the cryptocurrency will remain above that threshold, according to the only prediction market with active data on the event.
Prediction market traders see a 97% chance that Bitcoin will not reach the $70,000 mark during the week of July 27 to August 2, 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
In a market with minimal activity, Kalshi traders assign a 49% probability to a specific outcome in the '1st Half Winner' event, reflecting a near-even split with no clear favorite. No data is available from Polymarket or Manifold, limiting the breadth of market insight.
Traders on Polymarket see a 98% chance that the U.S. Supreme Court will not accept a case involving sports event contracts by July 31, 2026, with nearly $1 million wagered on the outcome.
Prediction markets on Polymarket give a 51% probability that OpenAI will release GPT-6 before Rockstar Games launches Grand Theft Auto VI, with over $691,000 wagered on the outcome. The narrow margin reflects deep uncertainty in the tech and gaming sectors, as no single platform provides a consensus view.
Prediction markets give Joe Burrow a 1% chance of being traded to the New York Jets before the 2026 season, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Alex de Minaur a 54% chance of covering a -1.5 game handicap against Stefanos Tsitsipas in their upcoming match, with $6,000 in volume wagered on the outcome.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Ariana Arseneault a 78% chance of defeating Annabelle Xu in their upcoming Vancouver contest, set to resolve on August 3, 2026, with $5,000 in total volume wagered.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give a 74% probability that Stefanos Tsitsipas will cover a -1.5 game handicap against Alex de Minaur in their upcoming match, with the market showing $5K in volume as of the latest data.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Stefanos Tsitsipas a 53% chance of winning the first set in his upcoming match against Alex de Minaur, with $2,000 in volume wagered on the outcome.
Prediction markets give Mallory McMorrow a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Michigan Democratic primary, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction markets give Michigan Attorney General Dana Nessel a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Democratic primary for governor, according to Polymarket, the only platform with active trading on the question.
In a highly speculative market, traders on Kalshi give an 85% probability that Jesus Christ will return before the release of Grand Theft Auto VI, while Polymarket shows a starkly divided 50% probability, reflecting deep uncertainty across prediction platforms.
Prediction markets indicate a stark divide in expectations for Stripe's private market standing by July 31, with Kalshi traders assigning a mere 2% chance of the payments giant achieving the third highest valuation, while Polymarket bettors see a 46% probability—a 44-point gap that underscores deep uncertainty.
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