The news hasn't happened yet.
Tomorrow's edition. Generated by AI. Sourced from markets.
Prediction market traders see an 84% chance that Bitcoin will fail to reach the $67,000 mark on June 15, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction market traders see a 99% chance that DeepSeek will not hold the second-best AI model by the end of June 2026, according to Polymarket data, with $262,000 in volume backing the long-shot status.
Prediction market traders see a 99% chance that Bitcoin will not exceed $72,000 by June 19, 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Across prediction markets, traders assign a mere 1% probability to China imposing a blockade on Taiwan by June 30, 2026, with Polymarket's $1.8 million in volume reflecting strong consensus on the unlikelihood of such an event.
Prediction market traders see a 94% chance that OpenAI's market capitalization will close below $1.25 trillion on its IPO day, according to Polymarket data, suggesting the AI giant's public debut may temper sky-high expectations.
Prediction market traders see a 92% chance that OpenAI's market capitalization will fall short of the $1 trillion threshold on its IPO day, according to Polymarket data, suggesting the AI giant's public debut may not reach the lofty valuations some analysts have projected.
Prediction markets give DeepSeek a 0% chance of having the top AI model by the end of June 2026, according to Polymarket data with $216K in volume, though the lack of cross-platform data and a clear definition of 'top model' temper the forecast.
Prediction market traders see no chance that Alibaba will have the top AI model by the end of June 2026, according to Polymarket data, where the contract has attracted $159,000 in volume.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Amazon a 0% chance of having the top AI model by the end of June 2026, with $34,000 in volume backing the view that the tech giant will trail competitors in the rapidly evolving field.
Prediction market traders are unanimous in their view that Maddox Dagenais will not be selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, with Polymarket giving the proposition a 0% chance as of today.
Prediction market traders see a 94% chance that former President Donald Trump will not publicly criticize Federal Reserve nominee Kevin Warsh through mid-2026, according to Kalshi data.
Prediction market traders see an 88% chance that Abelardo de la Espriella will win the 2026 Colombian presidential election, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform with active trading on this event.
Prediction market traders give Senator Ivan Cepeda Castro an 11% chance of winning Colombia's 2026 presidential election, according to Polymarket data, making him a clear long-shot candidate in a race dominated by other contenders.
Prediction markets give a 2% chance that the next UK general election will be called by June 30, 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking this event. The 98% implied probability that the election will occur later reflects broad trader consensus that Prime Minister Keir Starmer will not trigger an early poll within that timeframe.
Prediction markets give Juan Manuel Galán a 0% chance of winning the 2026 Colombian presidential election, according to Polymarket, the only platform with data on this event, with $769,000 in volume backing the outcome.
Traders on Polymarket give Diane Parry a 95% chance of advancing past Ella Seidel in the Grass Court Championships qualification round, with $191,000 wagered on the outcome.
Prediction market traders are giving Alycia Parks an 82% chance of overcoming Tessa Brockmann in the Grass Court Championships qualification match on June 20, 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Darryn Peterson just a 10% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NBA draft, suggesting the high school standout is widely expected to land elsewhere in the lottery. With $55,000 wagered on the outcome, the market reflects a strong consensus that another prospect will claim the top spot.
Prediction market traders see a 98% chance that LaBaron Philon will not be selected with the third overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft, according to Polymarket data.
Prediction markets give Cameron Boozer only a 3% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NBA draft, according to Polymarket data, suggesting the Duke commit is widely expected to fall to a later pick.
Polymarket traders give Darryn Peterson a 58% chance of being the second overall pick in the 2026 NBA Draft, with $33,000 wagered on the outcome, though no other prediction platforms track the event.
Prediction market traders give Petra Marcinko a 76% chance of overcoming Aoi Ito in the Grass Court Championships qualification round on June 20, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the match.
Prediction markets give Ilya Morozov just a 1% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction markets give Alexander Command a mere 1% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to Polymarket data, making it nearly certain that another prospect will top the board.
Prediction markets give Adam Nemec a mere 1% chance of being the first overall pick in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give Darryn Peterson just a 17% chance of being selected third overall in the 2026 NBA Draft, suggesting the prospect is widely expected to be picked elsewhere or later in the first round.
Prediction market traders see a 99% chance that Czech forward Adam Novotný will not be selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction markets give Viggo Björck a 0% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to Polymarket data, where traders have wagered $467,000 on the outcome.
Prediction markets give Caleb Malhotra a 0% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event with $10,000 in volume.
Prediction markets give Tynan Lawrence a 0% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction markets give Oscar Hemming a 0% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction markets give Carson Carels a 0% chance of being selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, according to Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event with $8,000 in volume.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give a 0% chance that Brooks Rogowski will be the first overall pick in the 2026 NHL Draft, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket give a 0% chance that Ethan Belchetz will be selected first overall in the 2026 NHL Draft, with no data available from other platforms, indicating a consensus that another prospect will top the board.
Prediction markets show a stark divide over French President Emmanuel Macron's political future, with Polymarket traders giving a 99% chance he remains in office through June 30, 2026, while Manifold forecasters see a 44% probability of an early exit—a 43-point gap reflecting deep uncertainty.
Polymarket traders give a 30% chance that XRP will trade above $1.20 on June 16, 2026, implying a 70% probability the cryptocurrency will remain below that threshold. No other prediction platforms currently offer contracts on this event.
Traders on Polymarket give Prime Minister Keir Starmer an 81% chance of remaining in office through June 30, 2026, with $5.7 million in wagers placed on the outcome.
Prediction market Polymarket gives a 100% probability that Winnipeg Jets forward Nikolaj Ehlers will lead the 2026 Stanley Cup Finals in points, though the market's thin liquidity and lack of corroborating data from other platforms raise questions about the reliability of this forecast.
Prediction market traders on Polymarket are betting heavily that no new actor will be officially named as the next James Bond by June 30, 2026, with the contract trading at 91% probability on the platform, representing over $303,000 in volume.
Despite swirling fan speculation, prediction markets give actor Callum Turner a mere 4% chance of being named the next James Bond, with Polymarket traders overwhelmingly betting against his casting.
Prediction market traders are fully convinced that Fannie Mae will not conduct an initial public offering by June 30, 2026, with Polymarket giving the outcome a 100% probability on $28,000 in volume.
Prediction markets give a 99% chance that Alix Earle and Tom Brady will not confirm a romantic relationship by June 30, 2026, according to data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the event.
Prediction markets give Henry Cavill a 0% chance of being named the next James Bond, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Despite swirling fan speculation, prediction markets give Tom Holland a 0% chance of being announced as the next James Bond by June 2026, with Polymarket traders placing $269,000 in bets against the casting.
Prediction market data from Polymarket, the only platform tracking the question, shows a 0% probability that actor James Norton will be announced as the next James Bond by June 30, 2026, suggesting traders are virtually certain the role will go to someone else.
Prediction markets are giving a 100% probability that Freddie Mac's market capitalization will close above $150 billion on its IPO day, according to Polymarket data with $83,000 in volume.
Prediction markets give a 0% chance that actor Josh O'Connor will be announced as the next James Bond by June 2026, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Despite a flurry of speculation, prediction markets give James Collier a 0% chance of being announced as the next James Bond by June 2026, with Polymarket traders betting heavily against the rumor.
Prediction markets give actor Theo James a 0% chance of being announced as the next James Bond by June 30, 2026, according to Polymarket data, with no other platforms tracking the event.
Prediction market Polymarket shows a 100% probability that Seidel will cover the -1.5 handicap against Parry by June 20, 2026, though the market's thin $6K volume suggests limited confidence.
Tomorrow's paper, today. Delivered free to your inbox every morning.